Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001043 1.188926e-03 0.001336 0.001496 0.001662 0.001831 0.002015
2025-08-10 0.000762 9.637441e-04 0.001176 0.001413 0.001668 0.001932 0.002225
2025-08-17 0.000575 8.145990e-04 0.001077 0.001379 0.001712 0.002063 0.002460
2025-08-24 0.000393 6.494444e-04 0.000944 0.001295 0.001691 0.002117 0.002605
2025-08-31 0.000285 5.541640e-04 0.000879 0.001278 0.001739 0.002241 0.002822
2025-09-07 0.000213 4.923855e-04 0.000847 0.001294 0.001818 0.002397 0.003071
2025-09-14 0.000134 4.069464e-04 0.000777 0.001258 0.001834 0.002478 0.003236
2025-09-21 0.000094 3.665580e-04 0.000759 0.001282 0.001916 0.002632 0.003478
2025-09-28 0.000072 3.510148e-04 0.000771 0.001341 0.002038 0.002829 0.003769
2025-10-05 0.000040 3.060127e-04 0.000739 0.001341 0.002088 0.002942 0.003962
2025-10-12 0.000021 2.773935e-04 0.000726 0.001364 0.002163 0.003083 0.004186
2025-10-19 0.000005 2.374606e-04 0.000692 0.001357 0.002201 0.003179 0.004357
2025-10-26 NaN 1.822472e-04 0.000642 0.001343 0.002250 0.003313 0.004602
2025-11-02 NaN 1.098871e-04 0.000547 0.001265 0.002220 0.003355 0.004743
2025-11-09 NaN 6.660438e-05 0.000490 0.001233 0.002246 0.003462 0.004961
2025-11-16 NaN 2.342926e-05 0.000405 0.001154 0.002206 0.003489 0.005084
2025-11-23 NaN 6.802201e-06 0.000366 0.001139 0.002248 0.003614 0.005320
2025-11-30 NaN 7.535716e-07 0.000347 0.001153 0.002328 0.003784 0.005609
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000302 0.001120 0.002341 0.003870 0.005798
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000291 0.001142 0.002429 0.004048 0.006094
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000300 0.001199 0.002563 0.004282 0.006456
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000278 0.001199 0.002618 0.004417 0.006701
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000269 0.001221 0.002703 0.004588 0.006987